EARLY WARNING PHASES

Normal: Environmental, livestock and pastoral welfare indicators show no unusual fluctuations and remain in the expected seasonal range.
 
Alert: Environmental indicators show unusual fluctuations outside expected seasonal ranges.  This occurs within the entire district, or within localised regions.

OR

sset levels of households are still too low to provide an adequate subsistence level, and vulnerability to food insecurity is still high.

Alarm: Environmental and livestock/agriculture indicators fluctuate outside expected seasonal ranges, affecting the local economy.  This condition occurs in most parts of the district, and directly and indirectly threatens food security of pastoralists and/or agro-pastoralists.

Emergency: All indicators are fluctuating outside normal ranges.  Local production systems are collapsed as well as the dominant economy within the district.  This situation affects the asset status and purchasing power of the population to an extent that welfare levels have been seriously worsened resulting in famine threat.